The state and dynamics of family structures in modern Russia as a challenge to its civilizational development
Research Article
How to Cite
Dobrokhleb V.G. The state and dynamics of family structures in modern Russia as a challenge to its civilizational development. Population. 2024. Vol. 27. No. S1. P. 17-27. DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1561-7785-2024-S1-17-27 (in Russ.).
Abstract
The study examines aggravation of the problems of demographic dynamics and the state of family structures in modern Russia as a challenge to its civilizational development. civilizational The objectives of the work are: to consider theoretical approaches to the dynamics of family and marriages in the country, to analyze the state of the marital structure of the Russian population, as well as the structure of families with children; to substantiate the conclusion that transition from small to large families in Russia is a way to overcome depopulation and preserve the Russian civilization. UN analysts conclude that by the middle of the 21st century, Russia will lose its status as one of the most populated countries in the world — in 2022 Russia ranked 9th in the ranking of the most populated countries. Aggravation of the problems of demographic dynamics, primarily the increasing depopulation, is becoming the most significant challenge to the civilizational development of the country. Marital status of the population of modern Russia is of particular interest for our study. The marriage structure shows that at the age of over 16, one third of the country’s population has not indicated a marital status or has never been married, almost one in five residents of our country (19.5%) can be classified as «marriage wrecks», and only less than half of Russians (49.0% of the population of marriageable ages) are married, and among them 4.4% of the population aged 16+ are in an unregistered marriage. At the same time, the interest in marriage remains significant for the residents of our country — in 2022 the marriage rate was 7.2‰. According to the latest All-Russian Population Census, the share of families with children under the age of 18 with one child is 49%, with two children — 38%, with three — 10%, with four — 2%, with five or more — 1%. Overcoming civilizational challenges, including demographic ones, is conditioned by effective strategies in the social and political spheres. Social construction of a better future in the demographic sphere is the most urgent and difficult goal of modern Russia.
Keywords:
civilization, demographic dynamics, family structure, marital structure, demographic policy
References
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3. Yakovets Yu. V. Novaya paradigma teorii, istorii i budushchego mira tsivilizatsii. [New Paradigm of the Theory, History and Future of the World of Civilizations]. Moscow. 2021. 534 p. (in Russ.)
4. Rybakovsky L. L. Demograficheskaya bezopasnost [The demographic security]. Bezopasnost Evrazii [Security of Eurasia]. 2003. № 33(13). P. 154–186. (in Russ.)
5. Meadows D. H., Meadows D. L., et. al. The Limits to Growth. A report for the Club of Rome’s on the predicament of Mankind. New York. Universe Books. 1972. 211 p.
6. Malkov S.Y u., Korotaev A. V., Davydova O. I. Mirovaya dinamika kak objekt modelirovaniya (k pyatidesyatiletiyu pervogo doklada Rimskomu klubu) [World dynamics as an object of modeling (for the fiftieth anniversary of the first report to the Club of Rome)]. Kompyuternyje issledovaniya i modelirovanije [Computer Research and Modeling]. 2022. Vol. 14. No. 6. P. 1371–1394. DOI: 10.20537/2076-7633-2022-14-6-1371-1394 (in Russ.)
7. Antonov A. I., Borisov V. A. Dinamika naseleniya Rossii v 21 veke i prioritety demograficheskoj politiki [Dynamics of Russia’s Population in the 21st Century and Priorities of the Demographic Policy]. Moscow. 2006. 192 p. (in Russ.)
8. Arkhangelsky V. N. Faktory rozhdajemosti [Factors of Fertility]. Moscow. 2006. 344 p. (in Russ.)
9. Arkhangelsky V. N. Analiz izmenenij brachno-semejnogo sostava naseleniya Moskvy po dannym perepisej naseleniya 2002, 2010 i 2020 gg. [Analysis of the Changes in the Marital-Family Composition of Moscow Population According to the Population Census Data for 2002, 2010 and 2020]. Moscow. 2023. 24 p. (in Russ.)
10. Ivanova A. E., Pletneva Yu. E., Sivoplyasova S. Yu., Sigareva E. P., Arkhangelsky V. N. Vozmozhen li jestestvennyj prirost naseleniya Rossii v blizhaishije 10 let [Is natural population growth in Russia possible in the next 10 years?]. Ekonomika. Nalogi. Pravo [Economics, Taxes and Law]. 2021. Vol. 14. No. 2. P. 32–43. DOI: 10.26794/1999-849X-2021-14-2-32-43 (in Russ.)
11. Kuzmin A. I., Primak T. V., Kuzmina A. A. Zhiznennyje strategii kak regulyatory demograficheskogo povedeniya semi i naseleniya [Vital Strategies as regulators of the demographic behavior of a family and a person]. Ekonomika Regiona [Economy of Regions]. 2011. No. 3(27). P. 63–70. DOI: 10.17059/2011-3-7 (in Russ.)
12. Popenoe D. Beyond the nuclear family-A statistical portrait of the changing family in Sweden. Journal of Marriage and the Family. 1987. Vol. 49. P. 173–183
13. Lesthaeghe R. J., Neidert L. US Presidential elections and the spatial pattern of the American Second Demographic Transition. Population and Development Review. 2009. Vol. 35(2). P. 391–400.
14. Antonov A. I. Krizis familisticheskoj tsivilizatsii v 21 veke [Crisis of familistic civilization in the XXI century]. Ekonomicheskije strategii [Economic Strategies]. 2016. No. 1. P. 40–42. (in Russ.)
15. Vishnevsky A. G. Evolyutsiya rossiiskoj semi. krizis semejnyh tsennostej s istoricheskoj tochki zreniya [Evolution of Russian family. The crisis of family values from historical point of view]. Ekologiya i zhizn [Ecology and Life]. 2008. No. 7. P. 4–11. (in Russ.)
16. Gurko T. A. Institut semji v postindustrialnykh obshchestvakh [Family institute in postindustrial societies]. Tsennosti i smysly [Values and Meanings]. 2011. No. 4(13). P. 26–44. (in Russ.)
17. Golod S. I. Semya i brak: istoriko-sotsiologicheskij analiz psikhologiya [Family and Marriage]. St. Petersburg. Petropolis. 2011. 272 p. (in Russ.)
18. Chernova Zh. V. Semeinaya politika sovremennoy Rossii: gendernyj analiz i otsenka effektivnosti [Family policy in modern Russia: gender analysis and efficiency assessment]. Zhenshchina v rossiiskom obshchestve [The Woman in Russian Society]. 2011. No. 3(60). P. 44–51. (in Russ.)
19. Chernova Zh. V. Nezavershonnaya gendernaya revolyutsiya [The unfinished gender revolution]. Monitoring obschestvennogo mneniya: ekonomicheskije i sotsialnyje peremeny [Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes], 2019. No. 2(150). P. 222–242. DOI: 10.14515/monitoring.2019.2.10 (in Russ.)
20. Van de Kaa D. J. Universal history and population change. Demografia. 2010. Vol. 53. No. 5. P. 5–20.
21. Volkov A. G. Evolyutsiya rossiiskoi semi v 20 veke [Evolution of Russian Family in the 20th century]. Mir Rossii [Universe of Russia. Sociology. Ethnology]. 1999. No. 4. P. 47–57. (in Russ.)
22. Golod S. I. Sotsiologo-demograficheskij analiz sostoyaniya i evolyutsii semi [Russian family’s state and evolution — sociological demographic analysis]. Sotsiologicheskije issledovaniya [Sociological Studies]. 2008. No. 1(285). P. 40–49. (in Russ.)
Article
Received: 27.02.2024
Accepted: 22.05.2024
Citation Formats
Other cite formats:
APA
Dobrokhleb, V. G. (2024). The state and dynamics of family structures in modern Russia as a challenge to its civilizational development. Population, 27(S1), 17-27. https://doi.org/10.24412/1561-7785-2024-S1-17-27
Section
FEATURES OF MODERN FAMILIES
