Economic factors in the demography of Russian regions (2017–2023)
Research Article
How to Cite
Rybakovsky O.L. Economic factors in the demography of Russian regions (2017–2023). Population. 2025. Vol. 28. No. 1. P. 4-16. DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1561-7785-2025-1-4-16 (in Russ.).
Abstract
The subject of the study is permanent population of the regions of Russia on average for 2017–2023.The topic of the study is economic factors of fertility, mortality and migration of the population of the regions of Russia on average for this period. The purpose of the study is to identify and justify the presence or absence of relationships between the economic and demographic characteristics of the population of the regions of Russia according to data on average for 2017–2023. Research methods — demographic statistical analysis. The source of statistics for calculations is Rosstat. Results and conclusions of the study show that at the level of Russian regions, the connection between migration and economic factors is weak. A moderate connection is visible only between migration and housing prices. The more economically developed the region, the more attractive it is for migrants, and the higher the housing prices in it. Due to similar circumstances, a moderate connection is visible between migration and the mortality indicator — life expectancy at birth (LE). In economically developed regions of Russia, the life expectancy, determined by the standard and conditions of life, is higher than in economically less developed regions (with the exception of North Caucasus republics). The links between life expectancy and direct economic factors are moderate and negatively directed. This is largely explained by high wages and incomes — in the outlying northern regions of Russia from the European North to the Far East. In most of these territories, the life expectancy is low, which is associated not only with the severity of the climate, poorly developed road and social infrastructure, but also with the peculiarities of the way of life of the indigenous peoples of these regions. The relationship betweenlife expectancy and housing prices, as well as the relationship between life expectancy and the total fertility rate, is practically absent at the regional level. The relationships between the TFR and direct economic factors are moderate, but, unlike life expectancy, positively directed.
Keywords:
demography of Russian regions, birth rate, mortality and population migration, economic factors, dispersion graph, coefficient of determination
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2. Lee E. S. A Theory of Migration. Demography. 1966. Vol. 3. Iss. 1. P. 47–57. DOI: 10.2307/2060063
3. Isard W. Metody regional’nogo analiza: vvedeniye v nauku o regionakh [Methods of Regional Analysis: An Introduction to Regional Science]. Moscow. Progress. 1966. 660 p. (in Russ.)
4. Rybakovsky L. L. Regional’ny analiz migratsiy [Regional Analysis of Migrations]. Moscow. Statistika [Statistics]. 1973. 159 p. (in Russ.)
5. Narodonaseleniye i ekonomika [Population and Economics]. Eds. D. I. Valentey et al. Moscow. Ekonomika [Economics]. 1967. 187 p. (in Russ.)
6. Sauvy A. Obshchaya teoriya naseleniya. T. 1. Ekonomika i rost naseleniya [General Theory of Population. Vol. 1. Economy and Population Growth]. Transl. from French. Moscow. Progress. 1977. 503 p. (in Russ.)
7. Antonov A. I. Sotsiologija rozhdajemosti [Sociology of Fertility]. Moscow. Statistika [Statistics]. 1980. 271 p. (in Russ.)
8. Arkhangelsky V. N. Faktory rozhdayemosti [Fertility Factors]. Moscow. TEIS. 2006. 399 p. (in Russ.)
9. Kashepov A. V. Vosproizvodstvo naseleniya v Rossii — tendentsii i perspektivy [Population reproduction in Russia — factors and prospects]. Ekonomika i Sotsium [Economy and Society]. 2019. No 9 (64). P. 139–158. (in Russ.)
10. Rybakovsky L. L. Faktory depopulyatsii v Rossii [Factors of depopulation in Russia]. Narodonaselenie [Population]. 2013. Vol. 61. No. 3. Р. 4–19. (in Russ.)
11. Tikhomirova T. M., Butynko M. V. Osobennosti vliyaniya regional’nogo razvitiya v Rossii na demograficheskiye protsessy [Peculiarities of the influence of regional development in Russia on demographic processes]. Fundamental’nyje issledovanija [Fundamental Research]. 2018. No. 8. P. 116–121. (in Russ.)
12. Andreev E. M., Shkolnikov V. M. Svyaz’ mezhdu urovnyami smertnosti i ekonomicheskogo razvitiya v Rossii i yeyo regionakh [The relationship between mortality and economic development in Russia and its regions]. Demograficheskoje obozrenije [Demographic Review]. 2018. Vol. 5. No. 1. P. 6–24. (in Russ.)
13. Balashova S. A., Zakharchuk A. R., Sidorenko M. V. Otsenka vzaimosvyazi urovnya sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya s urovnem smertnosti v regionakh RF [Estimates of the interrelation of the level of socio-economic development and the mortality rate in Russian regions]. Vestnik Rossiyskogo universiteta druzhby narodov [RUDN Journal of Economics]. 2020. Vol. 28. No 1. P. 83–97. DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2020-28-1-83-97 (in Russ.)
14. Kozlova O. A., Makarova M. N., Arkhangelsky V. N. Metodicheskiy podkhod k otsenke faktornogo vliyaniya na rozhdayemost’ v Rossii [Methodological approach to assessing factor influence on fertility in Russia]. Uroven’ zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia]. 2024. Vol. 20. No. 1. P. 76–90. DOI: 10.52180/1999-9836_2024_20_1_7_76_90 (in Russ.)
15. Rybakovsky L. L. Faktory i prichiny migratsii naselenija, mekhanizmy i vzaimosvjazi [Factors and causes of migration, mechanism of their relationship]. Narodonaselenie [Population]. 2017. No 2 (76). P. 51–61. (in Russ.)
16. Rybakovsky O. L. Zakonomernosti i osobennosti mezhregional’nykh migratsionnykh svyazey naseleniya Rossii za 50 let [Regularities and Features of Interregional Migration Relations of the Population of Russia for 50 Years]. Moscow. FNISC RAN [FCTAS RAS]. 2022. 471 p. (in Russ.)
17. Migratsionnyje protsessy v Rossii [Migration Processes in Russia]. Eds. V. V. Lokosov and L. L. Rybakovsky. Moscow. Ekon-inform [Econ-Inform]. 2014. 383 p. (in Russ.)
18. Rybakovsky O. L. Balans naseleniya regionov Rossii v 1992–2023 gg. i perepisnyye popravki [Population balance of the regions of Russia in 1992–2023 and census corrections]. Narodonaselenie [Population]. 2024. Vol. 27. No. 2. P. 71–82. (in Russ.)
Article
Received: 15.10.2024
Accepted: 25.03.2025
Citation Formats
Other cite formats:
APA
Rybakovsky, O. L. (2025). Economic factors in the demography of Russian regions (2017–2023). Population, 28(1), 4-16. https://doi.org/10.24412/1561-7785-2025-1-4-16
Section
DEMOGRAPHY: THEORY AND PRACTICE ISSUES
