Demographic development of Khabarovsk krai: problems and prospects
How to Cite
Motrich E.L. Demographic development of Khabarovsk krai: problems and prospects. Population. 2019. Vol. 22. No. 3. P. 30-46. DOI: https://doi.org/10.19181/1561-7785-2019-00025 (in Russ.).
Abstract
Currently, the socio-economic development of the country, any of its subjects is closely linked to the dynamics of demographic processes. The paper provides a traditional analysis of statistical data on the formation of the population of Khabarovsk krai, shows the current distribution of the population of the region on its territory. The study presents the results of the analysis of the processes of natural population movement and shows the role of migration flows (intraregional, interregional and international) in the formation of the dynamics, quantitative and qualitative characteristics of the population of Khabarovsk krai in comparison with the general Far East indicators. The paper identifies the main areas of migration attraction of the population of Khabarovsk krai. There is shown the dynamics of the population of Khabarovsk krai in comparison with other subjects of the Far East. The analysis of the natural reproduction of the population in Khabarovsk krai, presented in the paper, shows the dynamics of fertility and mortality in the region and their opportunities for formation of the demographic potential in the future. The article discusses the current and prospective age structure of the population of Khabarovsk krai, compares it with similar indicators for the Far East region as a whole. Analysis of the transformation of the population structure by age revealed the situation with the reduction of labor potential, which entails the necessity to attract labor using interregional and external migration. On the basis of the established trends in the dynamics of the population, an assumption is made about the possible risks of achieving the indicators provided for by the Concept of demographic policy in the Far East of Russia. The prospective population of Khabarovsk krai is offered for consideration in two variants, the need for implementation of the task to secure population is substantiated.
Keywords:
Khabarovsk krai, Far East, region, natural and migration population growth, age structure of population, the estimated population
References
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Estestvennoe dvijenie naseleniya Habarovskogo kraya v 2010 g. Stat sb./FSGS. Territorialnii organ Gosudarstvennoi statistiki po Habarovskomu krayu [Natural Movement of the Khabarovsk Krai Population in 2010. Stat. handbook]. Khabarovsk. 2011. 65 p. (in Russ.)
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Motrich E. L., Molodkovets L. F. O formirovanii naseleniya i trudovih resursov na Dalnem Vostoke Rossii. [Shaping the population and labor resources in the Russian Far East]. Ekonomicheskie i socialnie peremeni: fakti, tendencii, prognoz [Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast]. 2019. Vol.12. No 1. P. 53–69. (in Russ.)
Yudina T. N. Migraciya: slovar osnovnih terminov. Uchebnoe posobie [Migration: Dictionary of Basic Term. Textbook]. Moscow. RSGU [Russian State Social University]. 2007. 472 p. (in Russ.)
Migraciya naseleniya Habarovskogo kraya za 2002 god [Migration of the Khabarovsk Krai Population in 2002]. Habarovskii Kraikomstat [Khabarovsk krai statistical committee]. Khabarovsk. 2003. 48 p. (in Russ.)
Migraciya naseleniya Habarovskogo kraya za 2010 god [Migration of the Khabarovsk Krai Population in 2010]. [Khabarovsk krai statistical committee]. Khabarovsk, 2011. 63 p. (in Russ.)
Chislennost i migraciya naseleniya Rossiiskoi Federacii v 2010 godu [Population size and migration in the Russian Federation in 2010]. Available at: http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b11_107/Main.htm (Accessed: 25 April 2019 г.). (in Russ.)
Chislennost i migraciya naseleniya Rossiiskoi Federacii v 2017 godu [Population size and migration in the Russian Federation in 2017]. Available at: http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b18_107/Main.htm (Accessed: 25 April 2019 г.). (in Russ.)
Koncepciya demograficheskoi politiki Dalnego Vostoka na period do 2025 g. [The concept of demographic policy of the Far East for the period up to 2025]. Rasporyajenie Pravitelstva Rossiiskoi Federacii ot 20 iyunya 2017 g. № 1298‑r [Government of the Russian Federation. Order № 1298‑R of 20 June 2017]. Moscow. (in Russ.)
Aganbegyan A. G. Sberejenie naseleniya Rossii pod voprosom [Saving of the Russian population is questionable]. Narodonaselenie [Population]. 2018. Vol.21. № 4. P. 4–13. (in Russ.)
Demograficheskii ejegodnik Habarovskogo kraya. 2018. Statisticheskii sbornik [The Demographic Yearbook of Khabarovsk Krai 2018. Statistical compendium]. Khabarovsk. Khabarovskstat. 2018. 203p. (in Russ.)
Naselenie Rossii na rubeje XX–XXI vekov: problemi i perspektivi [Population of Russia at the Turn of the 20th-21st Centuries: Problems and Prospects]. Eds. V. A. Iontsev, A. A. Sagradov. Moscow. MAX‑ Press. 2002. 352 p. (in Russ.)
Bobkov V.N, Yelizarov V. V., Dzhanaeva N. G., Danilova I. A., Malikov N. S., Sinitsa A. L. Metodologicheskie osnovi razrabotki regionalnih programm demograficheskogo razvitiya s uchetom regionalnih osobennostei. [Methodological bases of working out regional programs of demographic development with the account of regional specifics]. Uroven jizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Living Standards of the Population of Russian Regions]. 2013. No.1(179). P. 10–17. (in Russ.)
Vishnevsky A. G. Demograficheskaya teoriya i demograficheskaya istoriya. Izbrannie demograficheskie trudi [Demographic Theory and Demographic History. Selected demographic works]. Vol.1. Moscow. Nauka. 2005. 214 p. (in Russ.)
Zayonchkovskaya Zh. A. Federalnie okruga na migracionnoi karte Rossii. [Federal districts on the migration map of Russia]. Region: ekonomika i sociologiya. [Region: Economics and Sociology]. 2012. No 3. P. 3–18. (in Russ.)
Perevedentsev V. I. Migraciya naseleniya i demograficheskoe buduschee Rossii (Nauchno‑ analiticheskii doklad). [Migration of Population and Demographic Future of Russia. Scientific and analytical report]. Moscow. Institut sravnitelnoi politologii RAN [Institute of Comparative Political Science, RAS]. 2003. 61 p. (in Russ.)
Rybakovsky L. L. Problemi formirovaniya narodonaseleniya Dalnego Vostoka [Problems of the Far East Population Formation]. Khabarovsk. Habarovskii KNII SO AN SSSR [Khabarovsk Complex Research Institute, Siberian Branch of AS USSR]. 1969. 201 p. (in Russ.)
Sonin M. Ya. Razvitie narodonaseleniya: Ekonomicheskii aspekt [Population Development: Economic Aspect]. Moscow. Statistika [Statistics]. 1980. 351 p. (in Russ.)
Levintal A. B. Migracionnie processi v Habarovskom krae. Vestnik dalnevostochnoi associacii profsoyuzov: sbornik nauchnih trudov [Migration processes in Khabarovsk krai]. Bulletin of the Far East Association of Trade Unions. Collection of scientific papers]. 2008. No. 2. P. 62. (in Russ.)
Chislennost, sostav i dvijenie naseleniya v Rossiiskoi Federacii. Statisticheskii byulleten. [The Number, Composition and Movement of the Population in the Russian Federation. Statistical bulletin]. Moscow. Goskomstat Rossii [Goskomstat of Russia]. 1992. 419 p. (in Russ.)
Demograficheskii ejegodnik Rossii [The Demographic Yearbook of Russia], 2010. Moscow. Rosstat. 2010. 525 p. (in Russ.)
Pasport goroda Habarovska 1992–2002 gg. Stat. sb. [Passport of Khabarovsk city 1992–2002. Statistical handbook]. Khabarovsk. Kraevkomgosstat [Territorial State Statistical Committee]. 2003. 33 p. (in Russ.)
Chislennost i sostav naseleniya Habarovskogo kraya [The number and composition of the population of Khabarovsk krai]. Available at: http://habstat.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_ts/ habstat/ru/ statistics/hab_stat/population/ (Accessed: 20 February 2019). (in Russ.)
Summarnii koefficient rojdaemosti / EMISS [Total fertility rate / EMISS]. Available at: https://fedstat. ru/indicator/31517. (Accessed: 20 February 2019). (in Russ.)
Rossiiskii statisticheskii ejegodnik 2018. Stat. sb. [Russian Statistical Yearbook 2018. Stat. handbook]. Moscow. Rosstat. 2018. 614 p. Available at: http://www.gks.ru/free_doc_2018/year18.pdf (Accessed: 07 March 2019). (in Russ.)
Demograficheskaya enciklopediya [Demographic Encyclopedia]. Eds. Tkachenko A. A., Anoshkin A. V., Denisenko A. B. et al. Moscow. Enciklopediya. [Encyclopedia]. 2013. 944 p. (in Russ.)
Estestvennoe dvijenie naseleniya v razreze subektov Rossiiskoi Federacii [Natural population movement in the context of the subjects of the Russian Federation]. Available at: htpp://www.gks. ru/free_doc/2018/demo/edn08–18/htm (Accessed: 28 February 2019.). (in Russ.)
Dalnevostochnii federalnii okrug. 2017. Statisticheskii sbornik [The Far East Federal District. 2017. Statistical handbook]. Khabarovsk. Khabarovskstat. 2018. 227 p. (in Russ.)
Demograficheskii ejegodnik Rossiiskoi Federacii, 1993. [The Demographic Yearbook of the Russian Federation 1993]. Moscow. Goskomsstat Rossii [Goskomsstat of Russia]. 1994. 419 p.
Dalnevostochnii federalnii okrug. 2016. Stat. sb. [The Far East Federal District 2016. Statistical handbook]. Khabarovsk. Khabarovskstat. 2017. 221 p. (in Russ.)
Spisok subektov Rossiiskoi Federacii po summarnomu koefficientu rojdaemosti [List of the subjects of the Russian Federation by total fertility rate]. Available at: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/ (Accessed: 24 April 2019) (in Russ.)
Demograficheskii ejegodnik Rossii, 1995. Stat. sb. [The Demographic Yearbook of Russia 1995. Stat. handbook]. Moscow. Goskomstat Rossii [Goskomstat of Russia]. 1995. 495 p. (in Russ.)
Demograficheskii ejegodnik Rossii, 2005. Stat. sb. [The Demographic Yearbook of Russia 2005. Stat. handbook]. Moscow. Rosstat. 2005. 595 p. (in Russ.)
Estestvennoe dvijenie naseleniya Habarovskogo kraya v 2010 g. Stat sb./FSGS. Territorialnii organ Gosudarstvennoi statistiki po Habarovskomu krayu [Natural Movement of the Khabarovsk Krai Population in 2010. Stat. handbook]. Khabarovsk. 2011. 65 p. (in Russ.)
Socialno_ekonomicheskoe polojenie Dalnevostochnogo Federalnogo okruga v 2005 g. [Socio-Economic Situation inf the Far East Federal District in 2005]. Moscow. 2006. 49 p. (in Russ.)
Predpolojitelnaya chislennost naseleniya Rossiiskoi Federacii do 2035 goda [Estimated population of the Russian Federation till 2035]. Available at: http: www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/ rosstat/ru/staticstics/publications/catalog/doc_1 (Accessed: 20 February 2019). (in Russ.)
Demograficheskii ejegodnik Rossii — 2002 g. [The Demographic Yearbook of Russia 2002]. Available at: http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/B02_16/lssWWW.exe/Stg/d010/i010230r.htm/ (Accessed: 20 February 2019). (in Russ.)
Demograficheskii ejegodnik Rossii — 2017 g. [The Demographic Yearbook of Russia 2017]. Available at: http://www.gks.ru/free_doc/doc_2017/demo17.pdf/ (Accessed: 31 October 2018). (in Russ.)
Prodoljitelnost jizni po regionam Rossii [Life expectancy by regions of Russia]. Available at: http:// www/statdata.ru/spg_reg_rf/ (Accessed: 24 April 2019). (in Russ.)
Srednyaya prodoljitelnost jizni v Rossii v 2017 g. [Average life expectancy in Russia in 2017]. Available at: http://regionomica.ru/ekonomika/statistika/… (Accessed: 25 April 2019). (in Russ.)
Demidenko O. Ne dojit, u dalnevostochnikov ne ostalos bolshe illyuzii po povodu pensii [Not to live to: Far Easterners have no more illusions about retirement]. REGNUM news agency. 15 June 2018. Available at: https://regnum/ru/news/polit/2431688/html/ (Accessed: 02 July 2018). (in Russ.)
Motrich E. L., Molodkovets L. F. O formirovanii naseleniya i trudovih resursov na Dalnem Vostoke Rossii. [Shaping the population and labor resources in the Russian Far East]. Ekonomicheskie i socialnie peremeni: fakti, tendencii, prognoz [Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast]. 2019. Vol.12. No 1. P. 53–69. (in Russ.)
Yudina T. N. Migraciya: slovar osnovnih terminov. Uchebnoe posobie [Migration: Dictionary of Basic Term. Textbook]. Moscow. RSGU [Russian State Social University]. 2007. 472 p. (in Russ.)
Migraciya naseleniya Habarovskogo kraya za 2002 god [Migration of the Khabarovsk Krai Population in 2002]. Habarovskii Kraikomstat [Khabarovsk krai statistical committee]. Khabarovsk. 2003. 48 p. (in Russ.)
Migraciya naseleniya Habarovskogo kraya za 2010 god [Migration of the Khabarovsk Krai Population in 2010]. [Khabarovsk krai statistical committee]. Khabarovsk, 2011. 63 p. (in Russ.)
Chislennost i migraciya naseleniya Rossiiskoi Federacii v 2010 godu [Population size and migration in the Russian Federation in 2010]. Available at: http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b11_107/Main.htm (Accessed: 25 April 2019 г.). (in Russ.)
Chislennost i migraciya naseleniya Rossiiskoi Federacii v 2017 godu [Population size and migration in the Russian Federation in 2017]. Available at: http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b18_107/Main.htm (Accessed: 25 April 2019 г.). (in Russ.)
Koncepciya demograficheskoi politiki Dalnego Vostoka na period do 2025 g. [The concept of demographic policy of the Far East for the period up to 2025]. Rasporyajenie Pravitelstva Rossiiskoi Federacii ot 20 iyunya 2017 g. № 1298‑r [Government of the Russian Federation. Order № 1298‑R of 20 June 2017]. Moscow. (in Russ.)
Aganbegyan A. G. Sberejenie naseleniya Rossii pod voprosom [Saving of the Russian population is questionable]. Narodonaselenie [Population]. 2018. Vol.21. № 4. P. 4–13. (in Russ.)
Citation Formats
Other cite formats:
APA
Motrich, E. L. (2019). Demographic development of Khabarovsk krai: problems and prospects. Population, 22(3), 30-46. https://doi.org/10.19181/1561-7785-2019-00025
Section
SPATIAL DEMOGRAPHY
