Socioeconomic Trends of the Regional Development
Research Article
Acknowledgments
The article was completed in accordance with the research work plan of the Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences for 2019–2021.
How to Cite
Kuklin A.A., Krivenko N.V., Kriventsova L.A. Socioeconomic Trends of the Regional Development. Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2020. Vol. 16. No. 4. P. 49-59. DOI: https://doi.org/10.19181/lsprr.2020.16.4.4 (in Russ.).
Abstract
The article describes the role of high-quality human capital in the modern economy, socioeconomic, and demographic trends in the regions. The research has revealed a certain relationship and mutual influence of economic and social factors on demographic trends. The assessment of the efficiency of the functioning of social sectors at the all-Russian Federal level and in the Ural Federal District revealed a low level of resource provision, insufficient investment in education and healthcare, which affects the state of fixed assets, leads to a low capital-labour ratio, and lags in terms of labour productivity in these sectors compared to indicators on average for the country's economy. An insufficient level of efficiency of the social sphere affects the social and demographic indicators. On the example of Russia and the Ural Federal District, a stable mutual influence of the economic situation and social aspects of population reproduction is shown. For a quantitative assessment of the relationship between economic, social and demographic processes in the Ural Federal District, indicators were selected for 6 subjects of the Ural Federal District for 2000-2018, the calculation was made using the methods of correlation and regression analysis, the coefficient of natural population growth was chosen as the main indicator characterizing the demographic trends. The model of the impact of socioeconomic indicators on demographic trends in the subjects of the Ural Federal Districts were built. With the unconditional impact of the incidence rate on the change in natural population growth, significant values were obtained for the following factors: an increase in the expenditures of the budgets of territorial compulsory health insurance funds, an increase in the share of the working-age population, an improvement in the welfare of the population, which contributes to an increase in average life expectancy, a reduction in mortality, and acceleration of demographic processes in the regions
Keywords:
demographic trends, fertility, mortality, healthcare, natural population growth, socioeconomic development, regression analysis, impact model
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Ito H., Tabata K. Demographic structure and growth: The effect of unfunded social security. Economics Letters. 2008. Vol. 100. No. 2. P. 288-291. DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2008.02.024
Lyons A. C., Grable J. E., Joo S. H. A cross-country analysis of population aging and financial security. The Journal of the Economics of Ageing. 2018. Vol.12. P. 96-117. DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2018.03.001
Wongboonsin K., Phiromswad P. Searching for empirical linkages between demographic structure and economic growth. Economic Modelling. 2017. Vol. 60. P. 364-379. DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.09.023
Baranov A.O., Pavlov V.N., Slepenkova I.M., Tagaeva T.O. Dynamic input-output model with a human capital block applied to forecasting of the Russian economy. Studies on Russian Economic Development. 2018. No. 6(171). P. 104-113. (In Russ.)
Blinov A.O. Innovation and technological modernization of the Russian industrial – base state security. Economics of stable development. 2013. No. 13. P. 44-50. (In Russ.)
Bodrunov S.D. Novaya industrializaciya: predposylki i podhody k osushchestvleniyu [New Industrialization: the background and approaches to implementation]. Novaya industrializaciya Rossii: strategicheskie prioritety strany i vozmozhnosti Urala: monografiya [New industrialization of Russia: strategic priorities of the country and opportunities of the Urals: monograph]. Ed. by S.D.Bodrunov, YA.P.Silin and others. Ekaterinburg: Ural.gos. econ. university. 2018. – 317 p. ISBN: 978-5-9656-0272-8. (In Russ.)
Bondarenko N. A., Syupova M. S. Forms of Demographic Security in the Region and Evaluation of its Threats. Bulletin of the Pacific State University. – 2017. – №. 3. – P. 183-190.
Gabdullin N. M., Kirshin I. A. Shulaev A.V. Regulation of interregional differences of the Russian federation regions in the context of national projects «Healthcare» and «Demography». Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2020. Vol.16. No.3. P. 59-69. DOI: 10.19181/lsprr.2020.16.3.5 (In Russ.)
Galin R.A. Demograficheskoe razvitie naseleniya Respubliki Bashkortostan v usloviyah rynochnoj ekonomiki [The demographic development of the Republic of Bashkortostan in the market economy]: monografiya. Ufa: BAGSU. 2016. – 248p. (In Russ.)
Ivanova I.A. Statistical analysis and modeling of infant mortality as an indicator of demographic safety of the regions of the Russian federation. Regional economics: theory and practice. 2014. No. 9(336). P. 50-55. (In Russ.)
Krivenko N. V. Problemy sohraneniya chelovecheskogo kapitala, zdorov'ya naseleniya v ramkah obespecheniya social'nodemograficheskoj i ekonomicheskoj bezopasnosti regiona [Problems of preserving human capital, public health in the framework of ensuring the social, demographic and economic security of the region]. Demograficheskaya i semejnaya politika v kontekste celej ustojchivogo razvitiya: sbornik statej IX Ural'skogo demograficheskogo foruma: v 2-h tomah. Vol. I. Ekaterinburg: Institut ekonomiki UrO RAN. 2018. P. 563-577. (In Russ.)
Krivenko N. V. Influence of public health reforming processes on maintenance of social-demographic and economic security of regions. Discussion. 2018. Vol. 90. No. 5. P. 64-72. DOI: 10.24411/2077-7639-2018-10007 (In Russ.)
Malyshev D.P. Models of social and demographic security of region (on the example of Pskov region). Economic security: problems, prospects, development trends. 2016. P. 250-261. (In Russ.)
Mnacakanov A.A. Perspektiva strategij massovogo vnedreniya transgumanisticheskih tekhnologij v sfere zdravoohraneniya [The prospect of strategies for the massive introduction of transhumanistic technologies in health care]. Social'noekonomicheskaya effektivnost' upravleniya obshchestvennym zdorov'em: filosofsko-metodologicheskie osnovaniya. Vtoraya ezhegodnaya nauchno-prakticheskaya konferenciya. Moskva, MGU im. M.V. Lomonosova, ekonomicheskij fakul'tet, 23-24 aprelya 2018 goda: monografiya / pod red. L.A.Tutova, E.M. Razumovskoj, Z.R. Ziganshinoj. M.: TEIS. 2018. – 216 p. (In Russ.)
Mostahova T.S., Tumanova D.V. Demograficheskaya bezopasnost' regiona (na primere respubliki Saha (Yakutiya) [Demographic security of the region (on the example of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)] // Regional'naya ekonomika: teoriya i praktika. – 2009. – №. 14. – P. 111-115. (In Russ.)
Ovsyannikov A.G. Cifrovaya platforma soprovozhdeniya biosocial'nogo cikla [Digital platform for supporting the biosocial cycle]. Social'no-ekonomicheskaya effektivnost' upravleniya obshchestvennym zdorov'em: filosofskometodologicheskie osnovaniya. Vtoraya ezhegodnaya nauchno-prakticheskaya konferenciya. Moskva, MGU im. M.V. Lomonosova, ekonomicheskij fakul'tet, 23-24 aprelya 2018 goda: monografiya / pod red. L.A.Tutova, E.M. Razumovskoj, Z.R. Ziganshinoj. M.:TEIS. 2018. – 216p. P.154-156. (In Russ.)
Ocenka effektivnosti funkcionirovaniya sektorov social'noj sfery Rossii [Evaluating the effectiveness of the functioning of Russian social sectors]. Chereshnev V.A., Tyrsin A.N., Vasil'eva A.V. and others; Ed. by Chereshneva V.A. i Kuklin A.A. Ekaterinburg: Institut ekonomiki UrO RAN. 2017. – 206 p. (In Russ.)
Popov K.D. Intellektual'nye resursy novoj industrializacii [Intellectual resources of new industrialization] P. 130-147 at the Novaya industrializaciya Rossii: strategicheskie prioritety strany i vozmozhnosti Urala: monografiya [New industrialization of Russia: strategic priorities of the country and opportunities of the Urals: monograph]. Ed.by S.D.Bodrunov, YA.P.Silin and others. Ekaterinburg: Ural. gos. ekon. un-t. 2018. – 317 p. ISBN: 978-5-9656-0272-8. (In Russ.)
Rybakovsky L. L. Demographic security: geopolitical aspects // Population. – 2004. – №. 1. – P. 022-034. (In Russ.)
Senchagov V. K., Ivanov E. A. Struktura mekhanizma sovremennogo monitoringa ekonomicheskoj bezopasnosti Rossii [The structure of the mechanism of modern monitoring of Russia's economic security]. M.: Institut ekonomiki RAN. – 2015. – 46 p. (In Russ.)
Stewart T. Intellectual Capital: The New Wealth of Organizations. M.: Pokolenie. 2007. – 368p. (In Russ.)
Suknyova, S.A., Semyonova, Y.N. Methodological Approaches to Monitoring Status of Health and Safety of the Population in the Northern Territories. Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2019. Vol. No.1. – P. 20-30. DOI: 10.24411/1999-9836-2019-10050 (In Russ.)
Ugrozy i zashchishchyonnost' ekonomiki Rossii: opyt ocenki [Threats and security of the Russian economy: assessment experience]. Ed. S.V. Kazancev, V.V. Karpov. – Novosibirsk: IEOPP SO RAN, 2016. – 280 p. (In Russ.)
Cruz M., Ahmed S.A. On the impact of demographic change on economic growth and poverty. World Development. 2018. Vol. 105. P. 95-106. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.12.018
International Monetary Fund. Communications Department. «The Long, Good Life». In Finance & Development, March 2020. USA: International monetary fund. DOI: 10.5089/9781513528830.022
Ito H., Tabata K. Demographic structure and growth: The effect of unfunded social security. Economics Letters. 2008. Vol. 100. No. 2. P. 288-291. DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2008.02.024
Lyons A. C., Grable J. E., Joo S. H. A cross-country analysis of population aging and financial security. The Journal of the Economics of Ageing. 2018. Vol.12. P. 96-117. DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2018.03.001
Wongboonsin K., Phiromswad P. Searching for empirical linkages between demographic structure and economic growth. Economic Modelling. 2017. Vol. 60. P. 364-379. DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.09.023
Article
Received: 07.09.2020
Accepted: 10.11.2020
Citation Formats
Other cite formats:
APA
Kuklin, A. A., Krivenko, N. V., & Kriventsova, L. A. (2020). Socioeconomic Trends of the Regional Development. Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia, 16(4), 49-59. https://doi.org/10.19181/lsprr.2020.16.4.4
Section
ECONOMIC RESEARCH